Here’s what to expect this summer in travel and tourism

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Written by Devin Rider, Chartered Financial Analysts

According to Hopper’s Summer 2022 Travel Guide, more than half of Americans plan to travel for pleasure this summer, indicating that they are eager to get back on the road. Most of the tourists Going on vacation or to see family and friends – 24% are traveling for the first time since the COVID-19 outbreak. With airline and gas expenses on the rise, more than half of Americans who plan to travel for pleasure this summer expect to spend more than $1,000.

Flight prices are going up

Domestic airfares are up more than 34% from the same period last year, with a current average of $383 round trip. Summer air fares are on track to reach a 5-year high, driven by higher jet fuel prices, rising demand, and lower overall capacity compared to 2019.

Meanwhile, fares for foreign airline tickets are up just 2.5% from 2019, averaging $912 round-trip. More specifically, the cost of air travel to destinations on the list of European countries will cost tourists an average of $ 868, which is unchanged from last year; However, airfares to closer destinations in Mexico and Central America, as well as the Caribbean, have increased by 8% and 10%, respectively.[1]

Average Summer Airfare vs. Domestic Summer War

Jet fuel prices, such as gasoline and diesel, fluctuate with crude oil prices. American Airlines (AAL) said in February that the price of jet fuel rose from $1.48 in 2020 to $2.04 in 2021; That’s more than a third. It was estimated at the time that every one-cent increase in the price of a gallon would add nearly $40 million to its fuel bill in 2022. In the first quarter of this year, America estimated it paid $2.80 to $2.85 a gallon. Consumers seem uninterested in higher fuel costs and the resulting higher airfares. Ed Bastian, CEO of Delta Air Lines (DAL), said Wednesday that despite 10% fewer tickets being available, March was Delta’s highest sales month ever, beating the record set in 2019.[2]

Summer travel demand

Summer travel demand has continued to expand at a much higher rate than in past years according to Hopper, adding upward pressure on ticket prices. Demand for finding domestic travel expanded 50% faster this summer than it did in the first four months of 2019, with the biggest acceleration following the end of the Omicron COVID-19 wave in February. Demand is expected to remain strong until mid-summer, when it will begin to decline seasonally near the end of August and September.

Search request for domestic travel

In fact, the summer of 2022 has been dubbed the summer of “revenge travel,” a term given to describe the desire to travel after the prolonged lockdowns and restrictions of the pandemic. Americans are bragging about “revenge travel” to make up for lost time two years after the pandemic-related cancellations, treating themselves to expensive tickets, better hotels and longer stays. Thus, travel remains a top priority for the discretionary spending of consumers who are tired of staying at home. The result is that vengeful travelers are “more likely to experience exotic locations, spend more money to travel, or a combination of both.”[3]

A study by short-term rental data company AirDNA found that small towns/rural and destination/resort markets dominated in 2020 and 2021, while 2022 is likely to see a return to great American cities.[4] According to AAA, travel bookings for 2022 are off to a much better start than they were this time last year, and consumer confidence in travel is on the rise, too.[5] Furthermore, Expedia CEO Peter Kern (EXPE) expects summer 2022 to be “the busiest travel season ever”.[6]

easing restrictions

Of course summer travel will be boosted by easing restrictions around the world. As COVID-19 progresses from the pandemic stage to the endemic stage, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) has asked countries to ease travel restrictions as quickly as possible. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has recommended removing all travel barriers for those fully vaccinated with a WHO-approved vaccine, enabling travel without quarantine for unvaccinated passengers with a negative pre-departure antigen test result, removing travel bans, and accelerating the easing of travel restrictions. In recognition that travelers pose no greater risk of spreading COVID-19 than the general public. Here are some recent updates regarding international travel in a post-pandemic world.

Europe The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) and the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) dropped the mask authorization for passengers on flights and airports on May 16.[7] “For passengers and aircrew, this is a major step forward in the normalization of air travel,” said Patrick Key, EASA Executive Director. This update takes into account the latest developments in the pandemic, including vaccination rates and levels of natural immunity, as well as the easing of restrictions in a growing number of European countries.

Norway became the first European country to completely remove all entry requirements related to covid-19 in February.[8] Ireland, Hungary, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Poland, Denmark, Latvia, Slovakia and Greece followed suit in March and April.[9]

South America Governments across Latin America have lifted restrictions on travel and mask rules that had been in place for two years due to low rates of coronavirus infection. Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru and Uruguay are open to all travelers regardless of vaccination status. Brazil and Colombia require vaccinations before entry.[10]

Asia – In recent months, most countries in Southeast Asia have relaxed Covid entry requirements. Thailand has announced that it will not require pre-departure vaccinations for vaccinated travelers, while Vietnam has scrapped quarantine and post-arrival testing requirements.[11] Malaysia scrapped the mandatory testing requirement for all vaccinated travelers in April as the nation moves into the “endemic phase” of its COVID-19 strategy.[12]

However, China’s non-proliferation policy for the novel coronavirus (COVID) remains strong, prolonging the country’s isolation from the rest of the world. Only foreigners with appropriate residence permits and visas are allowed to enter the country, and only under very strict conditions.

conclusion

The economic effects of COVID-19 have affected all sectors of travel around the world, from airlines and hotels to entertainment attractions and online travel agents. Travelers are already looking for opportunities to visit their favorite destinations, and plan to make up for lost travel time. Increased consumer appetite means plenty of opportunity for the travel industry to recover from pandemic losses. The easing of restrictions and pent-up demand for travel is driving the industry forward, while the price increase is largely ignored by those eager to get back on the road.

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[1] Summer 2022 Travel Guide – Hopper

[2] Fuel prices are driving up airfares, but travelers seem willing to pay.

[3] The travel of revenge and where do the Americans travel

[4] AirDNA forecast report

[5] bouncing back the confidence of the traveler; AAA travel bookings are stronger than this time last year

[6] Expedia CEO predicts this summer will be the ‘busiest travel season ever’

[7] EASA/ECDC takes first steps to ease COVID-19 measures for air travel | EASA

[8] Norway removes all entry requirements for tourists as the whole country returns to normal

[9] Countries that do not have any travel restrictions or entry requirements

[10] COVID-19 South America – Travel Status (June 2022)

[11] Travel restrictions in Asia: Which popular destinations have reopened?

[12] Malaysia clippings of Covid tests for travelers, outdoor mask state

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Editor’s note: The bulleted summary of this article was selected by searching for the alpha editors.

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